Friday, September 30, 2016

Media Desperately Searching for a "Good Poll"



Via THE GATEWAY PUNDIT:

POST DEBATE POLLS: TRUMP Surges to Lead in 5 Battleground States Following Debate

Yet, the lamestream media is boasting about Clinton's four point lead in Florida

Mason-Dixon Polling 

"Here we go again. Democrat Hillary Clinton holds a slim 44%-42% lead over Donald Trump in Florida, with Libertarian Gary Johnson drawing 6%, Green Party candidate Jill Stein getting 2% and 6% still undecided. 
The race in Florida clearly divides along the traditional demographic lines. Clinton leads among Democrats (83%-7%), women (51-37%), blacks (91%-5%), Hispanics (63%-27%) and in Southeast Florida (56%-31%). 
Trump is ahead with Republicans (78%-10%), unaffiliated voters (44%-30%), men (47%-36%) and non-Hispanic whites (54%-29%). Trump has very strong support in North Florida (52%-33%) and Southwest Florida (52%-35%). 
The battleground once again is in the I-4 corridor. The race in that area is essentially tied, with Clinton leading 44%-40% in the Tampa Bay region and Trump leading 46%-42% in Central Florida.
With sharp geographic and demographic splits across the state, the outcome – at least right now – appears to hinge on turn-out."

TURNOUT INDEED!  But you'd hardly see the pollsters talk about "turnout", since it appears Republicans are prepared to turnout in force.

I could not decipher their weighting in the above poll, but if you scroll down to demographics at the link, perhaps some one can figure it out.

And, as Trump pulls ahead in Ohio, the New York Times decides to make the state no longer relevant:




More in a bit..............




Tuesday, September 20, 2016

"IT IS CLEAR AND IT IS REAL"

"In the last week or so, a new polling trend has emerged: Trump's path to the presidency is no longer a pipe dream — it is clear and it is real.
Trump has more and more ways he can get to 270 electoral votes — that should give all of us pause. Chip in for the first time today to help us stop him and reach our goal of 2.5 million donors by the end of the month — we'll send you a free sticker to say thanks.
He has made serious gains in states like New Hampshire and Colorado — places where we once held double-digit advantages. And he's now leading polling averages in several key states, including Florida and Ohio."  ~ Clinton Campaign Manager, Robbie Mook  (LINK)
What?  No free phones?  

Sunday, September 11, 2016

NO MORE BUSH'S, NO MORE CLINTON'S---WE'RE HALF WAY THERE

Long before this election cycle began, the sentiment among most of the American electorate was an emphatic NO BUSHES AND NO CLINTONS.

Yet, the Establishment Cartel of Washington D.C. stubbornly refused to listen, and to this day, they still are not listening.  And, make no mistake, the Cartel still believes they are the power that runs this country---not the American Voter.

This is about to change.

Despite the efforts of the GOPe, aka, the Republican Establishment, Donald Trump upset one half of the Establishment's apple cart, systematically taking down sixteen formidable Republican candidates---including former Florida governor Jeb Bush, (who collected and threw over a $100 million in negative advertising at Mr. Trump), winning the Republican Primaries in dramatic fashion.

It must be noted that during these Republican primaries, the turnout for the party was up 60% over the 2012 cycle, while it's reported the Democrat Party's turnout was down by 20%.  While the naysayers can make the argument that primaries don't reflect general election turnouts, I would argue there is no precedent for this election cycle, given the unpredictable phenomenon of Donald Trump.  But let us digress for a moment.

In the "Democratic" primary, the Establishment Democrats---from the start---realized there was only ONE CANDIDATE chosen to represent their Party.  In an effort to appear there was a legitimate process, (instead of a coronation), the party allowed a few token candidates to participate, including a devout/professed socialist that turned out to be more than the Establishment Democrats could handle.  The NO MORE CLINTONS wing of the Democrat Party had settled on promoting a more left-wing candidate in Bernie Sanders.

But, the fix was in---enter the Super-Delegates, and the Chairperson of the DNC.

What the Establishment wing of the Democrat Party did not expect was that any other token candidate would make a serious run at Hillary.  They figured the "Clinton Machinery" alone would take care of business, (without having to risk exposure to the inside fix).  The Bernie Sanders supporters, aka, the NO CLINTON folks came out in full force to put the threat in place, i.e. upset the apple cart of the DNC's coronation.  Not only did the Super-Delegates take control of the primary, Debbie Wasserman-Shultz, (despite the consistent denials), was behind the scenes, insuring Mrs. Clinton come out on top.

Thus, the Democrat Convention/Coronation began with a disgraced dismissal of Wasserman-Shultz, followed by a parade of anti-American values speakers, and then a floor vote that resulted in the Sanders' supporters walking out of the convention---a display of disgust over both the obviously fixed process, and the indignant treatment of Sanders' people.  Coronation Complete, but not without considerable damage to the Party.

And, the Mainstream Liberal Media cheered on.

Despite the improprieties of "this Democratic Process", the liberal media completely ignored what had just taken place.  Owned, and bound by the DNC Establishment, the MSM "dutifully" played their part in this charade, while pretending/expecting no one would notice.  Thanks to the social media, both conservative and liberal---WE NOTICED.

Fast forward to today, there is absolutely nothing Hillary Clinton has to offer the American Electorate.  She can't campaign on her accolades, there are none. The old, tired Democrat-playbook is limited and surely predictable.  If you, [Mrs. Clinton], have nothing positive to offer the people, then resort to the negative, vitriolic presentation that has worked in the past.

Enter, THE BASKET OF DEPLORABLES.  (excuse me for a moment while I tell microsoft office this "word" WILL BE in the dictionary)

After the tumultuous Democrat Convention/Coronation, (and the media's flagrant intolerance of reality), the liberal media and mainstream pollsters desperately needed a narrative to propel their contaminated candidate, so they "weighted" their polls to reflect a tremendous bounce for the next queen of 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue.  Reuters News Service in the forefront of the flagrant deception, (and of course, the college polls---all liberal all the time), provided the fodder for the naves to inhale.  Low and behold, what a bounce! Hillary had gone from being down 2-3 points nationally to Trump, to embracing a 7-14 point lead.  The Media's plan had worked to perfection, a prolific deception that the race was over.  Or, was it?

What happened to this insurmountable lead?  How could this possibly happen that within virtually three short weeks, (the last two weeks of August and the first week of September), that this Presidential Race is a dead heat?  Where did Mrs. Clinton's fabricated lead, and more importantly, what can she do now?

I know.  Let's call half of Trump's supporters a basket of deplorables.

Remember, the woman that recently said:

 “If Donald Trump can’t show all Americans the respect they deserve, he doesn’t deserve to be President”.

and, 

“The last thing we need is a president who brings more name-calling and temper tantrums to Washington.”

now calls Trump supporters deplorable, among other things:
"To just be grossly generalistic, you can put half of Trump supporters into what I call the basket of deplorables," Clinton said. "Right? Racist, sexist, homophobic, xenophobic, Islamaphobic, you name it." 
She added, "And unfortunately, there are people like that and he has lifted them up. He has given voice to their websites that used to only have 11,000 people, now have 11 million. He tweets and retweets offensive, hateful, mean-spirited rhetoric." 
Clinton then said some of these people were "irredeemable" and "not America."
 Mrs. Hillary Rodham Clinton, since you didn't get, (or deleted), the memo of the people's request for no more Bush's or Clintons-----you're fired!

Saturday, September 10, 2016

Friday, September 9, 2016

It's Time for "#NeverTrumpers to Come Out, Be Honest and Endorse Hillary Clinton"

Via Gateway Pundit, (and about time), Sean Hannity and Laura Ingraham are calling out these pathological Establishment Republicans to either get on the TrumpTrain or endorse Hillary.


photo credit to Gateway Pundit
"Sean Hannity and Laura Ingraham called on #NeverTrump leaders including Glenn Beck and Jonah Goldberg, to have some integrity and come out and endorse Hillary Clinton.

The #NeverTrumpers have been trying to sabotage Donald Trump for months.

It’s time they get honest with the public and endorse their favored candidate."

Jim Hoft:

"Enough is enough.

Have some integrity and endorse the liberal you want in the White House."


For the record, it's been reported that a few NeverTrumpers have come around to the reality that a Clinton in the White House would be a disaster for this country.  I will add these folks to a list (below) and link their endorsements/realities.

#1  Mark Levin:  While Mr. Levin has reportedly change his position, and will now vote for Trump, he's also recently banned Reince Priebus from his radio show.  (more on the ban later)

Update:  It looks like I've got to add some folks that are still on the fence:

Allahpundit



Tuesday, September 6, 2016

HUGE SWING IN POLLING

Amazing how that over-inflated over-weighted polling can bite you [pollsters] in the proverbial buttocks.  Since the beginning of August, (where the media and pollsters chortled about her insurmountable lead in national polling), Mrs. Clinton is now losing in numerous battleground states that were "in the bag" just 30 days ago.



With a little over 62 days left, the TrumpTrain appears to be gaining momentum, while Mrs. Post-nasal drip/allergy-prone Clinton is tanking.

For the Liberal Media Pundits, a 7-14 point lead that vanishes over a four-week period is not "a slight uptick" for Trump----it's HUGE!

Speaking of Media Excuses, can anyone explain how ten blackberries belonging to Mrs. Clinton, go missing?  Or, stepping back just a few years, how $6 Billion dollars goes missing while then Secretary of State Clinton was in charge?  Oh wait!  You mean the media didn't report this?

Or, will CNN even bother to report their new polling showing Trump winning?  Or, that Trump is leading with independents 49% to 29%?


Note to CNN: A "dead heat" is a mild understatement given how far ahead she was just a few weeks ago.

Cough cough..........Hack hack......  




Friday, September 2, 2016

A Conflict of Interest: As Hillary Clinton's Poll Numbers Continue to Slide, MSM "Still" Boasting a Landslide

From Politico:

Donald Trump’s campaign is teetering, threatening to collapse under the weight of a candidate whose personality outweighs his political skill. And now, with 22 days until the start of early voting, the GOP nominee is running short on his most precious commodity: time.



Now, before you allow yourself to get depressed, let's take a look at reality, minus the liberal media's touting the race is over.


1) Mrs. Clinton's convention "bounce" has all but evaporated.  Real Clear Politics, (RCP), that provides an over-all average of credible* polls, shows Clinton's post-convention lead from 8-14 points down to 3.9---one point away from the margin of errors.  This polling average comes from RCP's 4-way race, Trump, Clinton, Johnson, and Stein.

2) In a complete reversal, according to this ABC/Washington Post Poll, Hillary Clinton is under water with both women and people with post-graduate degrees, both monumental changes among the electorate.

3) Numerous "battle ground" states, (that Clinton once dominated, and the MSM touted as over the past few weeks), are also beginning to poll well within the margin of error.  Wisconsin, (a rust belt state), is the latest example of coming into play for Trump:

Via, the Hill:  A Marquette University poll – considered the gold standard in Wisconsin politics – found Trump moving to within 3 points of Clinton after trailing by 15 points in the previous survey from early August.

Virginia, a state once considered "out of reach" for Trump is now a 2-point race:

Via, Breitbart News: "A new poll of Virginia voters released by the Hampton University Center For Public Policy found Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump separated by only two points."

Via RCP: In North Carolina, Clinton's lead is only 0.5, with an Emerson poll showing Trump up by two points as recently as three days ago.

In the crucial states of Florida and Ohio, Clinton's "huge leads" of 6-12 points have shrunken to 3.8 (Ohio) and 2.7 (Florida)

In Georgia, (where the MSM touted a Clinton lead of 7-points in early August) Trump has a 4-point lead in two major polls.

The MSM constantly touts Clinton's lead in New Hampshire, (9-points), a state that's been blue for the last three elections, as if this is a "shocking" revelation---that 4 electoral votes will mostly likely go into her column. 

Trump leads in Missouri, and is down to Clinton in Iowa by a whopping 0.2 points.  Even Nevada is in play for Trump, as Clinton's lead is now just 2.3 points.

Anyone see a trend here? Hello, Bueller!

Of the 11 "battleground states"---Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin---Mrs. Clinton ONLY has "comfortable leads" in three states, Colorado, Michigan, and Pennsylvania  (I'm not counting NH and their piddly 4 votes).

Donald Trump is either leading or within the margin of error in SEVEN STATES!!!!  Let that sink in for a moment #anti-Trumpin'Idiots.

Since the beginning of August, Hillary has gone from having this election "in the bag" to potentially getting "shellacked", a favorite term well known to Mr. Obama and Mrs. Clinton during the 2010 and 2014 midterms---where Republicans have gained control over both Houses of Congress and State Houses across the fruited plains.

Given Mr. Trump's successful trip to Mexico, (to explain his immigration policies to the Mexican Government/President), Trump's record breaking crowds at his rallies, the momentum factor, (watch this video), his momentum factor again, and Hillary's drip, drip, drip of her continuing email and foundation scandals, and her spiraling numbers of "favorability" even among women, this election is far from over.  All indications point to Mr. Trump favorably, and far beyond the dismal performances of McCain and Romney..........

Just don't point out these facts to the idiots at Politico, or the rest of the mainstream liberal media, who are having a comprehension meltdown, aka, fabrications and delusions of grandeur.

* (by the term "credible", much of the national pollsters are over-weighting their polls by using 2008 parameters/methodologies, where Democrats turned out 10%-14% higher than Republicans.  It, [the overweighting] helps the MSM to provide their narratives the Clinton's winning big, but given Trump's huge turnout numbers in the primaries, (up 20% while Dems were down), the turnout factor will be critical in November.  And, it could make these pollsters look like morons.)

There now, don't you feel a bit better?


Note: This article linked at my favorite website, HOTGAS.NET